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Pythagorean Theorem, Turnover Margin, and how it Correlates to the Seattle Seahawks Season Win Total Expectation

Payne Insider - Posted on 31 August 2015

Written By: Billy Attridge

 Seattle Seahawks Betting Win Total Under 11.5 Pythagorean Theorem Image hosted by Payneinsider.comOn September 10th, sports fans and sports investors alike are blessed with NFL Regular Season football. While many sharp investors enter the Win Total market early, maneuvering around and grabbing key numbers, there are certain NFL teams that require patience, whose optimal market entry point is later rather than sooner. This year, the Seattle Seahawks fit that bill.

Football SuperContest Proxy - LVH Westgate Superbook Starts Taking Entries for its Annual NFL Tournament July 1st

Payne Insider - Posted on 30 June 2015

Written By: Vegas Matty

 Westgate 2015 Super Contest Proxy Image hosted by Payneinsider.comThe 2015 SuperContest at the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook expects to be even bigger than last year, when a record 1,403 entries made it worth more than $2 million to those entrants who finished among the Top 30 places and were paid out following the 17-week NFL season. At $1,500 per entry, the SuperContest has been known since its inception as the best NFL handicapping contest in the world, with last year’s winner taking home a record $740,000 for picking winners at an insane 76 percent clip.

Sports Betting 101: Market shopping and the Effect it will have on your Bottom Line

Payne Insider - Posted on 09 March 2015

Written By: Billy Attridge

 Line Shopping for Sports Betting Image hosted by Payneinsider.com As the push to legalize sports betting continues, it seems fitting to have a brief refresher on the fundamentals of investing in the sports betting marketplace. To start, betting on sports requires a discipline that many fail to recognize, or care to practice each and every single day in order to attain profitability. Understanding the risk involved with gambling and the work necessary to be successful is a decent head start to game planning your way to cashing (more) tickets in 2015 and beyond. One of the most crucial elements to wagering that involves both discipline and hard work is line shopping.

Live Betting: Three Reasons Sports Investors Should Consider Adding in-game Wagering to their Portfolio

Payne Insider - Posted on 10 December 2014

Written By: Billy Attridge

 Live Betting: Sports Investors Should Consider in-game Wagering Image hosted by Payneinsider.comReason 1: Options, Options, Options

Live Wagering provides bettors with a plethora of choices in the sports betting market. Buying off a side, locking in a middle, and getting down at a more advantageous number than offered at close are all opportunities that professional bettors look to capitalize on.

Top Tips for Betting on this Season’s Super Bowl

Payne Insider - Posted on 26 November 2014

 Top Tips for Betting on this Season’s Super Bowl Image hosted by Payneinsider.comWith the end of season playoffs in sight, all the teams still in contention to qualify will have one eye on the Super Bowl final, taking place on February 1st in Arizona. One team who will be chomping at the bit to get there is the Denver Broncos, especially after last season’s humiliation in the final to Seattle Seahawks. The strengthening of their squad over the summer can only benefit the Broncos chances, with the likes of DeMarcus Ware at defensive end, Aqib Talib at corner, and T.J.Ward coming in at safety. Denver has a great shot at lifting the Vince Lombardi Trophy come the end of the season at betting odds of 5/1. But what other teams could be in the mix to be crowned champions?

Las Vegas Westgate NFL SuperContest Standings Update: How Many Points Will it Take to Win?

Payne Insider - Posted on 19 November 2014

Written By: Billy Attridge

 Las Vegas Westgate NFL SuperContest Standings Update: How Many Points Will it Take to Win Image hosted by Payneinsider.comWith NFL Week 11 wrapping up, what better way to review the season thus far than by checking in with the prestigious Westgate SuperContest. Through 55 games (5 picks per week), CH BALLERS leads the pack with 42 points, picking winners at a 76.36% clip. Using basic statistical principles that Justin Zovas highlighted for readers in his pre-competition piece on the SuperContest for Todd’s Take, we can further evaluate the positions of the leaders, and consider the probability of someone eclipsing the projected 57.5 wins this year.

QB Rodgers worked out with the Packers on Monday

Payne Insider - Posted on 05 November 2014

 Aaron Rodgers Hamstring Injury Image hosted by Payneinsider.comThe Packers’ week off seemed to have seriously helped the hamstring injury that Aaron Rodgers suffered, since the very famous QB worked out on Monday, which is great news for many fans and their bookmaking solutions.

This proved to be the very first time that the player was able to participate on the field since October 26, when he suffered a pulled left hamstring in the Packer’s 44-23 defeat to the Saints.

"Aaron did everything today," said coach Mike McCarthy. "He looked good. He went through the workout today."

NFL Midseason Betting Report: Most and Least Profitable, and Teams you should Buy and Sell Down the Stretch

Payne Insider - Posted on 04 November 2014

Written By: Billy Attridge

 NFL Midseason Betting Report: Most and Least Profitable Teams Image hosted by Payneinsider.comSports bettors are constantly searching for relevant information that can aid them in their quest to profit in the evolving NFL sports market. Taking a step back to observe which teams have fattened pockets, and which have been costly, is an important strategy when investing in the NFL market. Always remember, no matter how good or poor a team might be, the point spread is the great equalizer. The Oakland Raiders might be 0-8, but they are 4-4 against the spread, while the defending Super Bowl Champion Seattle Seahawks are just 3-5 against the spread.

NFL Week 8: Three Games in the Betting Market to Keep an Eye On

Payne Insider - Posted on 22 October 2014

Written By: Billy Attridge

 NFL Week 8 Sports Betting Image hosted by Payneinsider.comBuffalo (4-3) at New York (1-6)

Current Line: Jets -3, 40

Analysis: This line opened Jets -2.5 (-120), and quickly jumped to NYJ -3, with professionals buying the Jets up to the most important number in the NFL. The total has been bet down off a key total number of 41, which seems to be a reasonable spot for the Bills and Jets; two teams whom excel on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 4th and 7th in opponents yards per play, and struggle offensively, ranking 25th and 31st, respectively. The Bills are coming off an emotional high, winning in the final seconds at home vs. the Vikings. Although they grabbed the victory, they lost the services of RB’s Jackson and Spiller. While the running back position is not of high value in today’s NFL, the loss of a leader like Jackson stings. Buffalo’s porous offensive line facing arguably the best front 4 football spells a long day for Kyle Orton and company. The Jets have added rest time, and despite the poor record, should be ready to go for this one.

NFL Betting Market: All 'Moves' are not Created Equal

Payne Insider - Posted on 24 September 2014

Written By: Billy Attridge

 NFL Betting Market: All 'MovesBetting the NFL is unlike betting any other sport. The amount of public money that saturates the market on a weekly basis allows professional bettors the opportunity to capitalize on line adjustments based purely on public action. For every investor claiming the NFL betting market is too tight, professional bettors understand it's the market with the least efficient money in conjunction with the opportunity to invest larger sums than any other american sport market. The public has a tendency to overreact; teams are constantly being evaluated based on what they accomplished (or did not) the previous week, and bet accordingly.

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