Archives 2011

Truths about Sports Betting from inside a Sharp Sports Handicapper Mind

The word TRUSTED is one you will hear numerous times throughout this article; it truly is a lost entity in the Sports Betting world. In an ocean filled with an abundance of bottom feeders, there are very few Sports Advisors that fit the mold of being trusted. Just like buried treasure, digging up a Sports Handicapper can be a grueling mission. Finding one you can trust, know is respected, and gathers the very best information, is a triple-threat combination tougher to locate than getting your girlfriend to agree to eat box on your birthday…IT’S IMPROBABLE!

The Sports Betting industry is jam-packed with touts peddling their “lock of a lifetime,” and it can be yours for only $999! 18 year old forum junkies who know it all, yet they still grace the confines of their mother’s basement. The latest Sports Handicapper type has now blessed us with their presence on Twitter. If you want their “line moving” Sports Prediction they can be found @SharpSyndicateLineMovingWiseGuy. I’ve yet to research if that’s an authentic account, but Pinnacle Sports opened betting on “REAL” at -265. Similar to the lock of a lifetime you’ll consider purchasing in September when the Orioles head to New York to take on the Yankees.

The issue with the aforementioned Sports Handicapper types is; each one thinks they “move lines,” and portrays influence in the industry. Reality is; the Sports Betting world only has 5-6 ACTUAL syndicate groups that have the potential to influence a line. They are respected by the books, and when they make a wager the books respond. Outside of these groups, there might be 7-10 individuals that garner that same respect. How do I know this? I have contact with 2 different syndicate groups that I exchange information with daily. This isn’t make believe, these people aren’t figments of ones imagination, they really exist! There are HUGE differences between the people I associate with, and your old roommate from college that has a rich uncle who bet $100,000 on a Football Pick last year, and the line moved by a hook. That doesn’t make him sharp! True sharps and syndicate groups can make a casual bet in the area of $5,000, and move the dial a full point or more. That’s respect, understand the difference?

There are trusted and respected names in this business, both paid, and non-paid Sports Advisor personalities. The non-paid variety tend to get respect from everyone, while the paid ones sometimes get the grunt of the scumbag perception the Sports Betting industry can depict at times. The question I get asked frequently; “If you make so much money betting, why do you need to sell picks?” For me, the answer is simple! I put in more time and effort than 95% of people betting sports. Starting with my own research, making calls and texts throughout the day to gather information, it’s literally a 12-18 hour process each and every day. Comparatively; it takes minimal time to update my website, attach names to an email list, and send out the plays I wager on. Aside from customer service, there really isn’t much work involved. Is that too honest for you?

I’ve always wanted to retire young, and Sports Betting in ALL aspects is going to allow me to do that. Being in my mid 20’s, I use the money I make through my website to invest multiple ways. #1 – It expands my bankroll exponentially in conjunction with profits from picking winners, the faster it grows, the greater percentage of it I can wager on games. #2 – I invest money in the stock market, which since taking seriously the last 30 months has yielded 23.8% net gains. #3 – I invest money in real estate. I put that money away to build for MY future; the number of reasons for ME to sell picks far outweighs the reasons not to! “My Number…” is MORE! I’d much rather work at the age of 26, than 56. I can’t answer that question any more truthfully, if you agree, thanks for getting the big picture, if not…TOUGH SHIT!

My name in the Sports Betting industry is one that carries trust and respect with it — and has for nearly a decade! That’s not something a majority of Sports Advisor and Sports Handicapper businesses can attest to. Find a trusted name, find a respected name…looking right here is a good start.

TAGS: Sports Handicapper | Sports Advisor | Sports Betting | Sports Prediction

Sports Betting through the eyes of a real professional Sports Handicapper

Sports Betting is an industry filled with endless situations, numerous elements, and an abundance of factors that determine the outcome of games. Unfortunately, one category this industry falls short in; is a Sports Advisor or Sports Handicapper that wins on a consistent basis. Those who bet, wager, and give their Sports Prediction on a daily basis, at years end, almost always fall on the short end of the stick. In fact, when the dust settles, only 1-3% of them actually profit betting on sports. There’s a very elite group of Sports Handicappers that profit each and every year betting on sports in this industry. PayneInsider.com is the home of one those rare winning entities that displays the consistency that earns the respect from people all over the country.

Whether it is Football Picks, Basketball Picks, or Baseball Picks, Payne Insider always finds a way to produce winning season after winning season. Payne’s endless knowledge in the sports field, his uncanny ability to gather inside information, and his limitless contact list of sharp bettors and wise guys throughout the country is the reason for his continuous success. In life, the same as betting on sports, it is equally important as to WHO you know, than WHAT you know. Building contacts throughout the country and sharing information is the key to finding winners. With the amount of teams scattered throughout the country, it’s hard to keep tabs on every bit of information trickling through the locker rooms of every team, in every sport. Utilizing contacts to gather critical information is the reason the long line of success has stretched for nearly a decade for Payne. Being in his mid 20’s, he could really be what the Sports Betting industry so desperately needs for the next half century, a proven winner!

Payne urges the casual sports fan looking to get into Sports Betting to do their homework when trying to find a Sports Handicapper. One thing this industry also has an abundance of is, scumbags looking to scam people out of their hard earned money to make a quick buck. The Sports Advisor that claims outlandish win rates like winning 97 percent of their Football Picks, or 83 percent of their Basketball Picks, are flat out lying and deceiving you. At the standard rate of -110 (betting $11 to win $10) your break even point is 52.4%. Anything above that number is in profit territory. There are many times where a real professional bettor goes on a hot streak over a 2 or 3 week span and is hitting an extremely high percentage, but at the end of the year the gold standard is a 55 to 60 percent win rate. That is the goal we set for ourselves – and a goal PayneInsider.com reaches frequently.

At the end of the day, Payne Insider is among the very best in the industry at setting clients up with strict guidelines to managing money. Bankroll management is the key success, and because of that success, you need to quit looking at Sports Betting as a risk, and start looking at it as an investment! My stock market approach to wagering on sports can not be duplicated; it is what sets me apart from the rest. In an uncertain industry, be a part of something certain! Join today, and be part of our winning team!

TAGS: Sports Handicapper, Sports Betting, Sports Advisor

Golden Nuggett Casino has released College Football Betting Odds for Games Of The Year!

In my city of Miami, being fashionably late is a way of life. We head out after midnight for an evening on the town, and we show up after the first quarter of the big game! I’m sure you picked up on it if you tuned into the NBA Finals, there’s no secret why the Heat are “White Hot.” Fans and seats need to mesh so you can’t tell how many are in attendance. Conversely, in the sports betting world, being first to the draw is the only means of survival. Getting the best numbers, and ensuring the greatest possible value is the way a true sharp bettor can expose a sportsbook.

It’s extremely rare a sportsbook will subject itself to a bevy of heavy-hitters like the one in Las Vegas did about a week ago. That’s right, the Golden Nugget Casino opened it’s doors and welcomed every sharp, wiseguy, and big-money bettor it could with open arms. Even one east coast syndicate I speak with sent runners out west to get down on some early numbers too! Essentially, this is the one day a year where the Nugget has more sharps than “Joes” roaming it’s property.

The atmosphere is extremely peculiar, some guys will show up early and exchange information, while others like keeping a low profile. Those keeping a low profile will show up in sweatpants, hoodies, hats, and any other stitch of clothing you could deem vital for a 72-hour stakeout. Now, I’m sure you’re picturing a frenzy of men wearing baggy cotton swarming the betting window like fly’s on sh*t, but there’s strict procedures to be followed.

Here is an overview of what Golden Nugget sportsbook director Tony Miller set up. 105 College Football Game of the Year lines were posted (See Below). Lines opened at 12:00PM Pacific Time. $1,000 max bet per game. Only 3 bets can be made at ONE TIME. If you wanted to get down more action, then you had to go to the back of the line and wait your turn after your initial 3 bets. It was a highly organized set up, as it always is at the Nugget. Tony runs one of the best sportsbooks in the entire country.

Without further ado…The 2011-12 College Football opening lines!

NCAAFB WEEK 1: (Week Of September 3rd, 2011)

Tulsa @ Oklahoma (-21)

LSU @ Oregon (-3)

Boise State (-6) @ Georgia

Miami Ohio @ Missouri (-20.5)

SMU @ Texas A&M (-17)

Miami (-3.5) @ Maryland

NCAAFB WEEK 2: (Week of September 10th, 2011)

Missouri @ Arizona State (-3)

Alabama (-9) @ Penn St.

Mississippi St. @ Auburn (-3.5)

South Carolina (-3) @ Georgia

Notre Dame @ Michigan (-2)

BYU @ Texas (-7.5)

Utah @ USC (-8)

TCU (-6.5) @ Air Force

NCAAFB WEEK 3: (Week Of September 17th, 2011)

LSU @ Mississippi St. (-1)

Oklahoma (-3.5) @ Florida State

Oklahoma St. (-8) @ Tulsa

Michigan St. @ Notre Dame (-6)

West Virginia (-3) @ Maryland

Utah @ BYU (-2.5)

Tennessee @ Florida (-13.5)

Auburn @ Clemson (-1)

NCAAFB WEEK 4: (Week Of September 24th, 2011)

Missouri @ Oklahoma (-13)

Arkansas @ Alabama (-11)

LSU (-4) @ West Virginia

Tulsa @ Boise St. (-24)

Oklahoma St. @ Texas A&M (-6)

Notre Dame (-4) @ Pittsburgh

USC @ Arizona St. (-3)

San Diego St. @ Michigan (-8)

Florida State (-7) @ Clemson

NCAAFB WEEK 5: (Week Of October 1st, 2011)

SMU @ TCU (-12)

Alabama (-6) @ Florida

Arkansas @ Texas A&M (-2.5)

Auburn @ South Carolina (-7.5)

Nebraska @ Wisconsin (-2.5)

Mississippi @ Georgia (-3.5)

NCAAFB WEEK 6: (Week Of October 8th, 2011)

Oklahoma (-8) @ Texas

Florida @ LSU (-5.5)

Auburn @ Arkansas (-7.5)

Miami @ Virginia Tech (-7)

Arizona St. (-2) @ Utah

UCONN @ West Virginia (-13.5)

Air Force @ Notre Dame (-10)

Georgia (-3.5) @ Tennessee

Michigan (-4) @ NorthWestern

TCU (-6.5) @ San Diego St.

NCAAFB WEEK 7: (Week Of October 15th, 2011)

San Diego St. @ Air Force (-3)

Arizona St. @ Oregon (-11)

Oklahoma St. @ Texas (-3)

Florida (-1) @ Auburn

Michigan @ Michigan St. (-3.5)

South Carolina (-1.5) @ Mississippi St.

Utah @ Pittsburgh (-4)

LSU (-9.5) @ Tennessee

NCAAFB WEEK 8: (Week Of October 22nd, 2011)

Auburn @ LSU (-9.5)

Oklahoma St. @ Missouri (-2.5)

Wisconsin @ Michigan St. (-1)

USC @ Notre Dame (-4)

Maryland @ Florida St. (-16)

Air Force @ Boise St. (-20)

Tennessee @ Alabama (-21)

Penn State @ Northwestern (Pick’Em)

NCAAFB WEEK 9: (Week Of October 29th, 2011)

UCONN @ Pittsburgh (-10)

BYU @ TCU (-7)

Stanford (-2) @ USC

Missouri @ Texas A&M (-7.5)

North Carolina St. @ Florida State (-14.5)

Michigan St. @ Nebraska (-7.5)

Georgia @ Florida (-3)

South Carolina (-10.5) @ Tennessee

NCAAFB WEEK 10: (Week Of November 5th, 2011)

Texas A&M @ Oklahoma (-7.5)

LSU @ Alabama (-9)

South Carolina @ Arkansas (-4)

NorthWestern @ Nebraska (-12)

NCAAFB WEEK 11: (Week Of November 12th, 2011)

Alabama (-7) @ Mississippi St.

Oregon (-1) @ Stanford

TCU @ Boise St. (-13.5)

Miami @ Florida St. (-7.5)

Auburn @ Georgia (-4.5)

Florida @ South Carolina (-6)

Nebraska (-1) @ Penn St.

Texas @ Missouri (-2)

Notre Dame (-7.5) @ Maryland

Tennessee @ Arkansas (-14)

NCAAFB WEEK 12: (Week Of November 19th, 2011)

USC @ Oregon (-11)

Mississippi @ Arkansas (-9)

Nebraska (-1) @ Michigan

Boise St. (-17.5) @ San Diego St.

California @ Standford (-12)

NCAAFB WEEK 13: (Week Of November 26th, 2011)

Texas @ Texas A&M (-7)

Pittsburgh @ West Virginia (-6)

Arkansas @ LSU (-4.5)

Alabama (-8) @ Auburn

Notre Dame @ Stanford (-6.5)

Florida St. @ Florida (-1)

Penn St. @ Wisconsin (-7)

Maryland @ North Carolina St. (-6.5)

Michigan St. (3.5) @ NorthWestern

Georgia (-6.5) @ Georgia Tech

Mississippi @ Mississippi St. (-12)

Oregon St. @ Oregon (-14)

UCLA @ USC (-6.5)

Clemson @ South Carolina (-12)

NCAAFB WEEK 14: (Week Of December 3rd, 2011)

Oklahoma (-2) @ Oklahoma St.

That was all 105 games and their opening numbers posted by the Golden Nugget. The goal in betting these lines early is not only to get the best number and cash that bet, but set up potential “middle” situations. Wise guys and sharps have done their home work for months at this point, and are able to peg teams as being good or bad based on recruiting, returning players, coaching turnover, new systems, and other situations like revenge, home coming, and an abundance of other factors. You name it, it has been thought of and factored in when placing these early wagers.

For example, when we talk about “middle” situations, and cashing two bets — the goal is to find undervalued, and overvalued teams. Perception is EVERYTHING! Lets say Team A is -3 based on the opening lines above. Once the season rolls along and the perception of a team has changed based on actual results, Team A maybe -10 once the lines are released for games that particular week. You would then come back and bet Team B (their opponent) at +10. You have thus created yourself a 7-point middle which has crossed multiple key numbers. So for instance if Team A beats Team B 35-28, you have cashed two tickets! Team A -3, and Team B +10 in the very same game. Are you getting how this works?

Not always will this be the case, but if you have done your home work over the summer, and done it well, you will have created great money making opportunities. Our biggest opportunity last season was backing South Carolina -3 at home Vs. Tennessee. We pegged the Vols as being in for a down season, they would be coming off a physical battle the week prior against Alabama. It happened to be Home Coming weekend for the Gamecocks. Point being, the stars seemed to all align themselves! The line re-opened the week of the game with South Carolina being 17 point favorites! We had not only got the best of the number by 2 Touchdowns, but we also created a 14-point middle! That’s essentially being a married man and getting a free F*ck Marisa Miller pass! SC ended up winning the game 38-24, and we cashed two tickets.

I was able to do the same this year and get down on a bunch of these College Football Game of the Year lines at their early numbers. I have started sending out all of the games I bet to my Early Bird Football Picks Clients. So If you guys need any help, or have any questions for the upcoming season, feel free to contact me — If you are not on board early, you are going miss the best lines available, and you won’t be able to set yourself up for the middle situations previously discussed. If you want sports betting to pay you like a job, then start treating it like a job!

CLICK HERE!!!

To get on board our Discounted Early Bird Football Picks Package!

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Charles Barkley Breaks Club on First Tee

Charles Barkley is a notoriously poor golfer, and that’s being kind. Barkley has one of the ugliest golf swings known to man kind. He has an uncontrollable hitch in the middle of his down-swing. So bad that, not even Hank Haney could fix Sir Charles and his stuttering problem.

Anytime Charles decides to pick up a golf club, laughs are surely to ensue. Earlier this week Barkley participated in a Pro-Am at the Regions Tradition at Shoal Creek, and trust me…he did not disappoint. Classic! Comedy at its finest!

What you are about to witness, many thought was impossible to execute on a golf course, but leave it to Charles and he can make the impossible come to reality — and he managed to do so on the very first tee!


Barkley broke all types of records in the NBA, and he followed suit on Hole #1 at Shoal Creek by breaking his driver. The clubhead of his Nike Driver flew off at contact, and sailed further than his ball.

Charles playing partner, Fuzzy Zoeller was eager to chime in once he located the driver head; “Are you playing a black Nike?”

Fuzzy suggested to auction the clubhead off for charity, and Barkley decided to be a good sport and do just that. The clubhead was signed by Charles, and donated to the PGA TOUR Charities to be auctioned off for charity. The bidding on the autographed driver head ends May13th.

Barkley was able to continue playing in the Pro-Am thanks to a fellow Auburn collegiate athlete, Bo Jackson. Bo allowed Charles to borrow one of his drivers to finish the round.

One thing was certain in Charles embarrassing display on the golf course, his colleagues Kenny Smith and Ernie Johnson at TNT were sure going to get a kick out of this. Boy, did they ever…

In the end, you have to take your hat off to Charles for being such a good sport, but he should really stick to making basketball picks! The further away this guy is from a golf course, the better chance animals in the wilderness have of surviving.

TAGS: Basketball Picks | Charles Barkley Broke Club

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Florida State Garnet and Gold Game

Saturday afternoon 53,818 fans packed Doak Campbell Stadium for the 2011 Garnet and Gold game spring football game.

What was expected to be a defensive battle due to numerous offensive injuries, was just that. Garnet made a goal-line stand as time expired, defeating the Gold 19-17.

Greg Reid lead the way on defense for the Gold team with a 26-yard interception return for a touchdown, and forced a fumble late in the fourth quarter.

There was a lone bright spot on offense for the Seminoles. Kicker Dustin Hopkins was a perfect 5 for 5 on field goals, including one kick from 60 yards as time expired in the first half.

Starter EJ Manuel, who quarter-backed the Gold team, finished the day completing 17 of his 37 pass attempts for 204 yards with one touchdown and two interceptions. Not the best start for Manual but, he had pressure on him all day with a bunch of his starting lineman out with injuries.

“That’s about what I suspected, We actually scored more than I thought we would. We are just so banged-up up front that it’s hard to tell on offense and it’s hard to tell on defense. But the kids played hard and got through it pretty much unscathed,” said FSU head coach Jimbo Fisher.

The Gold generated 253 yards and the Gold had 168. No question, the defense will be the strong suit for the 2011 Florida State Seminoles but, once the offense gets healthy expect that side of the ball to do more than hold their own.

Overall, it was a great start to the second season under the helm of Jimbo. “I think it was great,” Fisher said about the entire weekend in Tallahassee. “We had a great turnout, had good fan support. A lot old players back. Current players, guys that we haven’t seen back in years. Just to show the support for them and have them back. They got to have a reunion and get around everybody. I think it is a great atmosphere and it is a pleasure to be around.”

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Wonderlic Test Scores are in for 2011!

Picking on the girl you had a crush on, chicken patty Tuesday’s, or terrorizing the substitute teacher — we can all agree these were the highlights of our scholastic youth.

We can also agree, that once we got past middle school, high school, and college, we never wanted to see another standardized test again! Just the site of a number 2 pencil and a scantron with its odd-shaped ovals were enough to make one puke.

Well, “they’reeee baaaaaaaaack.”

As if the 40-yard dash, bench press, and 3 cone drill weren’t enough to test incoming NFL rookies and their skill set, teams have now added a grueling mental test called the Wonderlic to evaluate players.

The Wonderlic Test is a twelve-minute, fifty-question test that is suppose to demonstrate how well these athletes can think under pressure. How quickly they process thoughts, and how quick their instincts are. Some say the test is meaningless, but when the average NFL snap lasts roughly 6 seconds, you can see how quick, accurate, decision-making can play a significant role.

NFL teams and front office executives judge this test with discretion. Some value Wonderlic scores significantly higher than others — and some don’t really factor them in their grading of a player at all. However; one thing most teams agree on is the position the Wonderlic Test translates to the most…Quarterback.

It’s rare that all 32 teams in the NFL feel the same way about a particular player, especially a quarterback. So any question marks that a team may have about a player can be amplified by a poor Wonderlic score.

The 2011 quarterback draftee that a poor Wonderlic score would hurt big time is, Arkansas Razorback, Ryan Mallett. Lots of off the field issues including a poor attitude, previous drug use, and rumors of being a total jerk could potentially drop Mallett’s draft stock a full round in combination with a catastrophic score.

Not a big deal? According to the newest mock draft, experts have penciled Mallett in as the 15th overall selection heading to the Miami Dolphins. Last years 15th overall selection signed a 5-year, 20-Million dollar deal with close to 12-Million of that guaranteed. Last years 45th overall selection (exactly one round later), signed a 4-year, 4.5-Million dollar deal with close to 3-Million of that guaranteed. Pretty big difference, huh?

Here’s a list of the elite 2011 quarterback class and their Wonderlic Scores:

Greg McElroy – Alabama (43)
Blaine Gabbert – Missouri (42)
Christian Ponder – Florida State (35)
Ricky Stanzi – Iowa (30)
Andy Dalton – Texas Christian (29)
Ryan Mallett – Arkansas (26)
Cam Newton – Auburn (21)
Jake Locker – Washington (20)

To give you an idea of how the scores translate, experts consider a score of 10 as being literate. Although the average NFL score is 20, experts say when the test was given to miscellaneous people of various professions, it was observed that the average participant scored a 24.

Some other notable scores from big time players in the 2011 draft class are, LSU cornerback Patrick Peterson (9), and Georgia wide receiver A.J. Green (10). Experts have both of these players going no later than the 7th overall selection in Aprils draft despite poor scores.

Bottom line, if you can play…you can play. The Wonderlic Test is meaningless if you can produce on the field. It just gives us one more thing to talk about in the off-season while keeping us engaged in the NFL game. Hall of Fame quarterbacks like Dan Marino and Jim Kelly scored 15’s on their test, while guys like Jamarcus Russell (24) and Alex Smith (40) scored much higher. Take the scores with a grain of salt, and let production on the field do the majority of the talking.

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